Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Exactly How Bad Have The Devil Rays Been?
The Devil Rays are entering their 10th season and the first 9 haven't been too good. Those 9 seasons included 8 last past finishes, only one season of 70+ wins, and of course, ZERO playoff appearances. The Rays are considered the most inept franchise in baseball, but how bad have they really been? Expansion franchises are not supposed to win right away. It takes time. However, in the modern era of free agency, the Rays contemporary expansion brethren have enjoyed periods of success. Since 1993, the Devil Rays are one of four expansion teams. The Colorado Rockies were a wild card team in just their third season. The Florida Marlins have already won more titles (2) than the Red Sox have won (1) in the last 88 years. The Diamondbacks have three playoff appearances and one title. Historically, those moments of success are the exception to the rule and all three of those franchises paid heavy prices after their early success.

So where does the failure of the Tampa Bay franchise rank in the history of baseball. Let's compare the Devil Rays to the other franchises in Major League Baseball.

First let's look at all modern era expansion franchises and compare how long it took to reach .500...

FRANCHISE FIRST SEASON
YEARS UNTIL .500





Seattle Mariners
1977
15





Houston Astros
1962
11





Washington Nationals
1969
11





San Diego Padres
1969
10





Milwaukee Brewers
1969
10





Tampa Bay Devil Rays
1998
10*





Texas Rangers
1961
9





New York Mets
1962
8




Toronto Blue Jays
1977
7





Florida Marlins
1993
5





Kansas City Royals
1969
3





Colorado Rockies
1993
3





Los Angeles Angels
1961
2





Arizona D-Backs
1998
2





*The D-Rays have never been .500







The Rays will match Houston and Montreal/Washington if they don't finish .500 or better this season. However, they have a ways to go before catching Seattle. Still, not so good when the team is about to be tied with the second longest streak.

Now let's look at all modern era expansion franchises and compare how long it took to reach the playoffs...

FRANCHISE FIRST SEASON
YEARS UNTIL PLAYOFFS





Texas Rangers
1961
36





Seattle Mariners
1977
19





Houston Astros
1962
19





Los Angeles Angels
1961
19





San Diego Padres
1969
16





Washington Nationals
1969
13





Milwaukee Brewers
1969
13





Tampa Bay Devil Rays
1998
10*





Toronto Blue Jays
1977
9





New York Mets
1962
8





Kansas City Royals
1969
8





Florida Marlins
1993
5





Colorado Rockies
1993
3





Arizona D-Backs
1998
2





*The D-Rays have never been in the playoffs







This is a bit of a skewed list. With six divisions and wild cards, it is easier to reach the playoffs in this era. Still...36 years? Those poor Rangers fans. And Seattle's streak of 19 was fairly recent. The Rays are not likely to move to far up this list.

Now let's look at the franchises that have the longest current streaks of losing seasons...

FRANCHISE FIRST SEASON
YEARS SINCE .500





Milwaukee Brewers
1969
15





Pittsburgh Pirates
1882
15





Baltimore Orioles
1901
10





Tampa Bay Devil Rays
1998
9*





Colorado Rockies
1993
7





Cincinnati Reds
1882
7





Washington Nationals
1969
4





Kansas City Royals
1969
4





Arizona D-Backs
1998
4





*The D-Rays have never been .500






The Rays don't even have the worst streak in their own division. Pittsburgh and Milwaukee are both much improved this year and some predict one or both will end their streaks this season.

Now let's look at the franchises that have the longest current streaks of failing to reach the playoffs...

FRANCHISE FIRST SEASON
YEARS SINCE PLAYOFFS





Washington Nationals
1969
26





Milwaukee Brewers
1969
25





Kansas City Royals
1969
22





Pittsburgh Pirates
1882
15





Toronto Blue Jays
1977
14





Philadelphia Phillies
1883
14





Colorado Rockies
1993
12





Cincinnati Reds
1882
12





Baltimore Orioles
1901
10





Tampa Bay Devil Rays
1998
9*





*The D-Rays have never been in the playoffs






Again, the Rays are not even the worst in their own division. The orioles should be ashamed of themselves. They are a big market/high payroll team. The Phillies and Toronto are also teams with big payrolls that haven't sniffed the playoffs in a long time.

The Rays have been bad, but we are willing to bet it won't take 15 years to reach .500 or 36 years before they reach the playoffs. And there are currently other inept franchises that have been bad longer than the Rays.

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