Friday, January 16, 2009

[2009 TAMPA BAY RAYS]
Projected 2009 Tampa Bay Rays 40-Man Roster And Payroll
[Update: 2:12pm] The Rays have signed Lance Cormier to a one-year, $675K contract. To make room on the 40-man, the Rays have designated Dewon Day, who they had just claimed on waivers last week. With the addition of Cormier, this tells us that the Rays now expect Troy Percival to start the season on the DL as all spots in the bullpen are spoken for.

[1:42pm] With the recent addition of Gabe Kapler, the Rays 2009 roster may be set. After the recent contract agreements with Gabe Gross and Grant Balfour, the payroll is also much clearer. Let's update the 2009 40-man roster projection. We will be back later today with a look at the 25-man roster and lineup.

40-Man Roster Projection
(notes and explanations on the projection can be found following the roster)...

Notes on the 40-man roster projection
  • Ages are as of today.
  • Shaded players are projected to be on the 40-man roster, but not on the 25-man roster.
  • There are currently 40 players on the 40-man roster.
  • The Rays have reached agreements with two of their arbitration-eligible players (Gabe Gross, Grant Balfour). That leaves 3 arbitration players remaining (Dioner Navarro, Jason Bartlett, Willy Aybar). Salaries for those players are educated guestimations based on contracts of similar arbitration-eligibles in the past few years. The salaries are also based on one-year deals. If any of the players sign long-term extensions, their 2009 salary could be considerably different. So far we have been within $150K on the first two deals.
  • The 40-man roster now projects to have 26 players on the 25-man roster. This is due to the belief that Troy Percival will begin the season on the DL.
  • Troy Percival's 2009 salary was bumped up by $445K due to escalators in his contract for appearing in 50 games and finishing 38.
  • The Rays appear to be stuck with Troy Percival and Chad Bradford. Their $7.95 million combined salaries stick out like a sore thumb. One of those cartoon thumbs after somebody smacks it with a hammer.
  • As a Rule 5 draft pick, Derek Rodriguez must be on the major league roster or be offered back to his original team. We don't see a spot for Rodriguez, but we think the Rays will work out a deal to keep Rodriguez in the organization. It would likely cost the Rays a low-level minor leaguer or cash.
  • The opening day payroll now projects to be $61.7 million, but we also need to include Rocco Baldelli's buyout ($4 million). While not technically part of the payroll, it is a cost that cannot be ignored. That brings the projected payroll up to $65.7 million.
  • $61.7 million would have ranked the Rays 25th in payroll on opening day last year. The Rays opening day payroll in 2008 was $43.8 million.
  • $60 million is most likely at the high-end of where the Rays want their payroll to be and may even be above the threshold. The Rays tried moving Chad Bradford but could not find any takers. Other possibles would be Carl Crawford and Gabe Gross.
  • A year ago, the Rays projected to have 7 million dollar players. That number has now more than doubled to 16.

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7 Comments:

Blogger Charles said...

On the fly update: Dewon Day was DFA'd and Lance Cormier signed to a one year, $650K deal. He's a righty but actually does marginally better against lefties for his career.

1:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think Wheeler is the one out of the pen to move. I'd rather have the extreme ground ball, submarine throwing Bradford for roughly the same price.

And on that note, Lance Cormier? I'm desperately looking for some way to make sense of this signing. Anyone, please help.

2:02 PM  
Blogger kyle said...

They might be aggressively trying to trade Bradford.

2:06 PM  
Anonymous Joe D. said...

Cormier has the classic #s of a Quadruple A player, decent #s at Triple A, crap #s at Majors

2:14 PM  
Blogger Robert Rittner said...

I don't know what the reason for signing him is, but here is one possibility. I have read that he changed his pitching pattern in 2008 and just about all his numbers improved.

He is just 28, so it is possible the Rays think he has figured something out and can be an effective reliever. Given that he is a ground ball pitcher and pretty cheap perhaps the Rays think they can deal one of their more expensive relievers and replace him with Cormier.

Bradford has certainly had more success, but is pretty bad against lefties, while Cormier seems not to have extreme splits, and there are some red flags on Wheeler. Both cost over $3 million in 2009, so if one or both can be moved it would make sense to acquire a still young reliever with some major league experience who seemed to show growth last year.

3:09 PM  
Blogger GM-Carson said...

Damn you guys have a stacked team.

3:21 PM  
Anonymous Joe D. said...

I'm hoping Dale Thayer's numbers are going to translate to the big leagues. I had a chance to see him pitch in spring last year and his delivary reminded me quite a bit of Scott Dohmann, but Thayer's minor league numbers have been closer to what Grant Balfour has put up. I'd like to see him get a fair shoot in spring this season

3:42 PM  

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