Saturday, April 12, 2008

[THE HANGOVER]
The Dirtbag Get's The Call: Evan Longoria To Start Tonight


THE GOOD: Carlos Pena had 2 home runs and 6 RBI. The second home run came with 1 out in 7th and the bases empty of a 5-2 game, the O's brought in a lefty to face the Rays top of the order which is 3 straight lefties. 3 batters later, Pena tied the game 5-5...The Orioles bullpen entered the game with a 0.96 ERA. The Rays scored 8 runs in less than 2 innings off the bullpen...Good is being .500 after 10 games...Good is trailing 5-2 in the 7th inning and feeling like the Rays were not out of it...Good is winning a game when James Shields did not have his best stuff.

THE BAD: With 2 outs in the first and a 3-2 count, James Shields couldn't get past Nick Markakis. Markakis fouled a couple of tough pitches off and evenatually walked. Later, a throwing error by Jason Bartlett would lead to 3 unearned runs...In the bottom of the 1st BJ Upton rounded 3rd too far with 2 outs and eventually was tagged out in a run down...Now we are going to nitpick Joe Maddon a bit which seems a bit unfair considering the Rays went on to win, but with the Rays trailing 4-2 in the bottom of the second and Bartlett on 1st with 2 outs, Bartlett did not try to steal second. Bartlett has to try to get to second base.If he is caught stealing, the Rays have the top of the order in the 3rd. If he gets to second, he is in scoring position and scores on a single. Without trying to steal, the only way to score is an extra-base hit by Aki Iwamura (~7% probability) OR you need back-to-back basehits by Aki and Carl Crawford (~9% probability). On the other hand, if Bartlett is a 70% base stealer there is a 21% chance of scoring if he tries to steal. And if he fails, Aki leads off the 3rd. Instead, the Rays had to have Carlos Pena leading off the 3rd...Will somebody please explain to us what in the world Shawn Riggans is wearing around his neck? It looks like a Mr. T starter kit. We have seen a lot of players wear gold chains in baseball, but we don't ever remember one as long or as gaudy.

THE TELLING: The Orioles television crew are idiots. We *think* it was Gary Thorne and Buck Martinez. First of all, when Al Reyes came in to the game, they never mentioned his arrest. We are usually all for keeping the talk limited to the baseball game at hand, but in this case Reyes was arrested and tasered and basically a drunken idiot which led to being arrested, and all of that happened less than 20 hours before the start of the game. They should have mentioned how this was an incident that very well could have affected the outcome of the game. And they should have mentioned how Joe Maddon clearly wanted to get Reyes back on the mound as soon as possible. *Anything*. But they don't say one word. Later on in the bottom of the 8th the O's crew committed one of our biggest baseball announcer pet-pieves. With the bases loaded and Carlos Pena at the plate, a pitch came close to Pena and the crowd let out a grown. The announcers apparently needed to make it clear that the pitcher is not trying to hit Pena with the bases loaded and can't seem to understand why the crowd is groaning. Well Sherlock...maybe it is just because the fans don't like their star player getting hit by a pitch, whether it is intentional or not. Buck Martinez was basically saying the fans are stupid and we should not be bothered when a pitch comes prety darn close to injuring our best hitter. We wouldn't hit Buck Martinez, but we really want to shake the shit out of him after saying that.

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA...
  • The Rays placed their 9th player on the Disabled List and we'll be damned if this is not the first injury in the history of the franchise that we have been waiting for. Willy Aybar was placed on the 15-day DL and Evan Longoria was called up and will start tonight at third base...Willy? Meet Wally (Pipp)...Jeff Niemann was also called up and will make his major league debut tomorrow...Niemann and Longoria on back-to-back days. Holy Shit! It is like Christmas and our birthday and Hanukkah all wrapped in one, again! [Yahoo! Sports]
  • Jason Hammel gets the ball tonight for the Rays and he will try to help the Rays win their 3rd straight. A win tonight and a Red Sox win and the Rays will be in first place. [MLB]
  • Al Reyes met with the media for a whopping 30 seconds and did not answer any questions. Basically it was a 30 second apology and silent "Thank God, I play for the Rays or else there would 6,000 reporters here." [Rays Report]
  • Bugs & Cranks has a nice close up of Al Reyes. He looks amazingly good considering he got decked, tasered twice and spent some time in jail where he may or may not have been somebody's bitch. [Bugs & Cranks]
  • In Paul Harvey fashion Sports Indeed has "the rest of the story" concerning Al Reyes. [Sports Indeed]
  • The must-read guys at "The Dugout" show that it was actually Troy Percival that tricked Al Reyes into getting drunk and tasered because Percy is worried that Reyes may try to take his closer's job back. [Fanhouse]
  • Dugout Central takes a look at Fred McGriff's career and notes that his peak seasons came a few years too early and missed out on the offensive explosion enjoyed by many others. [Dugout Central]
  • Carl Crawford got his 1,000th hit. [The Heater]

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Monday, February 18, 2008

[THE HANGOVER]
Josh Paul Is Still Favorite To Be Backup Catcher
Tampa Bay Rays (42 days until Opening Day)

Joe Maddon stated that Shawn Riggans is the favorite to be the backup catcher on opening day. Papa Joe then commented on what his criteria is for a backup catcher.
"The backup guy should be pretty effective defensively," Maddon said. "It's not an easy position. The guys that do it well make it look easy, but it's not easy. Part of their job really is to help the starting catcher. ... It's like a good backup quarterback in football."
This only surprises us because Maddon actually commented on the situation, but it does not surprise us that he named Riggans even though we project Josh Paul to win the job. Keep in mind that Riggans is the only candidate that is actually on the 40-man roster at this point. Paul and Mike DiFelice are in essence getting "tryouts". They are on minor league deals and have done nothing yet to earn a major league contract. If the team had absolute confidence in one or the other, they would not be on minor league deals.

The team has made it clear that they prefer a veteran backup catcher to help further the development of starter Dioner Navarro. Just don't expect Papa Joe to admit that publicly because he would have to say that he prefers a player that is not on the team over a player that is on the team.

At the end of the day, we still feel Josh Paul will be the Rays backup catcher and it is Riggans that needs to "win" the job. Paul has the edge in experience, better defensive abilities and a strong familiarity with the pitching staff and Navarro. Riggans would have to outperform Paul defensively in Spring Training to make the roster and we are not convinced he can.

Notes: Iwamura ready for second base [Tampa Bay Rays]

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA...
  • Marc Topkin takes a look at the Rays trio of young talented starting pitchers. Jim Hickey feels that 26 teams in the league would prefer to have Scott Kazmir, James Shields and Matt Garza as their top 3 pitchers. [St. Pete Times]

As Rays officials went back over the last several decades, they came up with only a few teams that had three starters who were so young with the chance to be so good. There were the A's of the early 2000s with Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder and Barry Zito. The Marlins of the same era with Josh Beckett, Brad Penny and Dontrelle Willis. The Braves of the early 1990s with Steve Avery, Tom Glavine and John Smoltz. And not too many others..."It's certainly a rare commodity," senior vice president Gerry Hunsicker said, "to have three young pitchers with the talent level that we're going to run out there."

  • A quick video interview with David Price as well as a look at him throwing off a mound. (Link will open a video player) [Tampa Bays 10]
  • Rays of Light begins a series in which they will spotlight certain Rays. First up is Akinori Iwamura. [Rays of Light]
  • Beyond the Boxscore makes an argument for Fred McGriff to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. We think the Crime dog was a very good and very consistent player, but he was what Mike Francessa would call a "compiler". His numbers look good because he played for a long time, not because he was a great player. We witnessed most of McGriff's career and never once did we watch McGriff and think "There goes one of the greatest baseball player's ever". Sorry. Great guy, very good player, but when the voting comes, we would be surprised if he cracks 25%. [Beyond the Boxscore]
  • We were in Austin this weekend. Apparently so was Matt Silverman. He was running in the Austin half-marathon. We were sitting in the front yard drinking Mimosas watching the half-marathoners and marathoners run by. [Rays Report]
  • Baseball Prospectus projects the Rays to finish 82-80. The biggest change will be in the pitching. They project that the Rays will increase their scoring from 782 to 788 runs in 2008 and will decrease their runs allowed from 944 to 776. [Baseball Prospectus]
  • Sean Deveney of The Sporting News feels the Rays and the Nationals have a special kinship because they have both sucked recently. The similarities are a stretch and include small fanbase (usually goes hand-in-hand with sucking), long odds to win the 2008 World Series (again, sucking), good young third basemen (1 spot out of 25 is similar), and both teams want to improve their image (as do most sucky teams). [The Sporting News]

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Saturday, February 16, 2008

[THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON REVOLUTION]
Three Players May Not Be Enough For The Fragile 'Right Field Triangle'
Tampa Bay Devil Dogs (44 days until Opening Day)
DRG here again to get you through the weekend...

Joe Maddon
regularly refers to the "right field triangle" of Cliff Floyd, Rocco Baldelli and Jonny Gomes. Maybe it should be the "right field square".

Floyd has arrived at camp and says that he feels better physically than he has in years.
"In terms of health, in terms of my feet, in terms of my knees -- everything -- I feel great," Floyd said.
He also speaks of his expectations for playing time.
"Whatever role I'm put into, I'm sure I can adapt to it, whether it's going into the outfield and playing two, three days a week and DHing two," Floyd said. "I know everybody has to play and to me, getting everybody involved keeps everyone fresh.
The coaching staff and trainers will also meet Monday to come up with a plan for how to use Baldelli n Spring Training with an eye towards gradually increasing his workload.
According to Maddon: "We're going to take it very slowly."
A "triangle"? Am I the only person that will not be surprised to see somebody else log significant playing time in right field this year? There is joust no way the Rays are getting a full season out of those three. At some point both Rocco and Floyd will be injured and AAAA-Justin Ruggiano will be manning right field.

Floyd feeling fine in twilight of career. [Rays Baseball]
Notes: Navarro excused from camp [Rays Baseball]


DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA...
  • The players opened camp with a new-found optimism that may have been spurred in part by Joe Maddon's opening speech. Both Scott Kazmir and BJ Upton expressed that making the playoffs is not out of the realm of possibilities for this ballclub and Troy Percival said that the chance for success was a major reason he signed with the Rays and turned down the Yankees, comparing this situation to the one in Detroit a few years ago. [St. Pete Times]
"What's possible? Play in October, that's possible," ace Scott Kazmir said. "That is possible. That's what I got out of Joe Maddon talking to us, and talking to all of my teammates, it's not something that's impossible. We have what it takes to win here."
  • Dioner Navarro has been excused from camp to be with his ailing mother in Venezuela after she suffered a brain aneurysm. She is in stable condition but remains in the intensive care unit. [St. Pete Times]
  • Andrew Friedman says that we have seen this team play well, but the players need to believe in themselves in order to play well consistently over long stretches. [St. Pete Times]

"One of the biggest challenges coming in two years ago was changing the mind-set of the organization, changing the mentality, and the most important part of that was getting the players to start believing, and I think we've taken quantum leaps in that regard," Friedman said.

"But it's carrying it over, it's going out and executing and playing consistently over an extended period of time. We've seen flashes of it, but it's playing to a consistently high level over a period of time. And that comes with believing, with changing that mind-set so that when you go out on the field each and every night that you expect to win. Starting to believe that and getting it to the point where 25 guys are playing together toward a common goal is something I hope to see really start to take form this year."

  • Rays Digest takes a look at David Price and has some quotes from his first day in Rays camp. [Rays Digest]
"I haven't played baseball in seven months," said David Price. "There is definitely excitement, nervousness, there's everything. I am looking forward to having a good time. It was fun (the first workout) and relaxed. You get your work in and get out of here. You wake up early get out early and get in a day of baseball."
  • Grant Balfour could be an odd-man out in the fight for jobs in the bullpen, but he welcomes the challenge. [Rays Baseball]
  • John Heyman of SI says the Rays had the 7th best off-season giving them a grade of B+. [SI]
They got rid of the Devil in their name, and also traded Elijah Dukes, which may be no coincidence. Dealing Delmon Young was a risk, but they're making a statement about the type of roster they want. And they're locking up their valuable youngsters, though attempts to extend Scott Kazmir have failed so far.
  • Ken Rosenthal calls the "Rising Rays" one of the 10 things to watch in Spring Training. [Fox Sports]
One American League GM says he views the Rays as an 80-win team; not bad for a franchise that, in its first 10 seasons, topped out at 70...Third baseman Evan Longoria could be this year's Ryan Braun, and the Rays' rotation might rank among the league's best by the end of the decade...Questions remain about whether Al Reyes, Dan Wheeler and Troy Percival will provide quality late-inning relief, but some of the team's young rotation candidates could prove valuable in the bullpen. The pitching also will benefit from improved defense: With Jason Bartlett at shortstop, the Rays' defense should be average or above-average at every position when Rocco Baldelli is in right field.
  • Using a new defensive statistic called SAFE which calculates the numbers of runs a player prevents or allows, a group of statisticians ranked current and former players. Both Carl Crawford and Jason Bartlett ranked among the best at their respective positions, while Fred McGriff was considered the worst first baseman. We assume they were just looking at McGriff's final season, it is unclear. [Associated Press]
  • Outs Per Swing actually Live Blogged the Rays' first practice. Would that be a 'Plog'? [Outs Per Swing]
  • Following a Plog is like watching paint dry, but the pictures are worth the effort, if just to get the first glance at the Boys in Blue. [Outs Per Swing]
  • One website thinks people should start jumping on the Rays bandwagon. Unfortunately, I don't think naming your son Aubrey will endear you to most Rays fans, as a one Mr. Huff is no longer in our good graces. [Bert Flex]

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Wednesday, November 14, 2007

[THE HANGOVER]
There Are No Carl Crawford Rumors To Deny
Team USA 4, South Africa 2.
Evan Longoria went 1-4 with a triple and Justin Ruggiano went 0-4 as Team USA moved to 5-1 and clinched a spot in the World Cup quarterfinals. They have one final game in the preliminary round versus Taipei with the quarterfinals set to played on Friday with the opponent yet to be determined. Longoria was the team's DH while Andy LaRoche played third base.

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA
...
  • Baseball Musings took a look at the "Probabilistic Model of Range" for centerfielders in 2007 and the Devil Rays centerfielders finished next to last, ahead of only the Brewers. The number must be taken with a grain of salt. When we look at Range Factor, BJ Upton was above the league average of 2.71 with a 2.91. On the other hand, Elijah Dukes and Delmon Young, who had the next two most innings played in center field were both well below the league average with a 2.30, which likely brought the Rays overall Range value down. Rocco Baldelli only played 20 games in center, but came in with a 3.61 range factor. [Baseball Musings]
  • Four of the 12 players named to the Topps Double-A All-Star team are Devil Rays farmhands. The list includes Evan Longoria, John Jaso, Chris Mason and Dale Thayer. [The Raw Feed]
  • More hardware for Carlos Pena. This time it is the fictional 2007 Andre Dawson Award, presented to the best player on a last place team. No word on what exactly the trophy looks like, but we are guessing it is a hawk with bad knees. Pena is the second Devil Ray to win the award. Fred McGriff won the award in 1999. [Home Run Derby]
  • The Cubs are trying to put together a package to land Carl Crawford. No word on whether or not discussions have already occurred. [Herald-News]
  • According to team officials, there are no deals being worked on that involve Carl Crawford. The denial is interesting and possibly unnecessary as we haven't actually heard any rumors involving CC. All we have seen and read is that other teams are targeting CC. But who wouldn't want CC on their team? [Bradenton Herald]
  • Al Reyes and Greg Norton both filed for free agency. The Rays still have until tomorrow to pick up options on both players. Reyes' option will be picked up. Norton is likely to be granted free agency. [TBO]
  • The Rays are one of 10 teams interested in signing Troy Percival. While Marc Lancaster sites Percival's close relationship with Joe Maddon as a reason the Rays may have an edge, it didn't seem to help last year when he ultimately signed with the Cardinals, so we are not sure why it would help this time around, except to add another team to the bidding process and ultimately raise the price. [TBO]
  • In the end, we were a little high with the target dollar amount, but as we predicted, the Yankees went to four years on their contract offer to Jorge Posada and the catcher decided to not even test the free agent waters. The Yankees re-signed Posada for 4 years and $52.4 million. The Yankees will have to pay the devil on the back end of the deal, but that is the advantage they have. They will be able to swallow that cost when Posada is a 40-year old part-time DH. The Rays are in no financial position to assume such a cost. [TBO]
  • Redeveloping Tropicana Field and the land on which it rests is key to the Rays moving to the St. Pete Waterfront in 2012. According to Aaron Sharockman this will not be a problem as land developers are already drooling over the prospect of building a residential and office space development on the 70 acre lot that is close to the interstate. [St. Pete Times]

Transforming the Tropicana site is "the kind of thing you dream about," said Craig Sher, the chief executive of the Sembler Co., which developed BayWalk in St. Petersburg and Centro Ybor in Tampa.

"There's a real potential to build a really neat mixed-use project, residential and office," Sher said. "There's just not a lot of land left in St. Pete. Any time you get a critical mass of land, you can get something spectacular. Hopefully, we'd be on somebody's list of people to call."

  • Now that the Devil Rays have changed their name to "Rays", has the team automatically eliminated itself as a potential destination for a small segment of players? Would Ray Durham have ever signed with the Tampa Bay Rays? Not likely. [Home Run Derby]

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