Monday, March 03, 2008

[THE HANGOVER]
Jeff Niemann Suffers In Spring Debut With Kazitus
Tampa Bay Rays (28 days until Opening Day)

Yesterday: Tampa Bay Rays 7, Pirates 5. The Rays are now 3-0 after starting the 2007 spring schedule 1-14.

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA...
  • Jeff Niemann did not allow a run yesterday in his first spring appearance, but it took him 33 pitches to get through the first inning, which meant he could not go out for the second inning. [MiLB]
  • Joe Maddon reemphasized that as soon as Jeff Niemann can start consistently pounding the strike zone, he will be in the majors. [Bradenton Herald]
"If we can get this guy throwing the ball consistently in the strike zone, he's going to come up very quickly," Maddon said, "regardless of experience."
  • Wade Davis' first spring appearance was a "learning experience" after he allowed 4 runs in 1+ innings, failing to record an out in his second inning of work. Joe Maddon is not worried. [The Ledger]
"He came out of his delivery in his second inning," Maddon said. "He just wasn't as in sync. The first inning, everything was together. It's just one of those first-time-around things...He's fine," Maddon added. "He's got great stuff, and it's a learning experience."
  • According to Marc Lancaster, Scott Kazmir can begin playing catch in the next 2-3 days...David Price threw in the bullpen and could get into a game later this week...Brian Anderson threw a 45-pitch bullpen session and could get into a game later this week...Rocco Baldelli will not play again until Tuesday when he will DH and then play in the field later this week. [Rays Report]
  • Troy Percival is expected to see his first action on Wednesday. [Tampa Tribune]
  • Dan Wheeler wonders allowed what it would be like to walk around the Tampa-St. Pete area wearing a World Series ring. Joe Maddon thinks he can get the best out of Wheeler by not working him more than two days in a row. [Tampa Tribune]
"I really want to avoid trying to abuse this guy," Maddon said. "I think if we get him back on pace, throwing the appropriate number of pitches and innings, I think we're going to see a very successful year out of him. He's in great shape, he had a great offseason, he's highly motivated - I see him having a really good year, actually."
  • Bill Chastain interviews Joe Maddon. Most of the questions and answers are topics that Maddon has covered earlier this spring. [Tampa Bay Rays]
  • The Bradenton Herald profiles Carlos Pena...the Rays' DH? [Bradenton Herald]
  • MiLB profiles the Rays' farm system, including their list of "Ten prospects to watch out for in 2008", four players that are "Under the Radar" and a list of predictions for 2008 players of the year in the organization. [MiLB]

Organizational Player of the Year: Desmond Jennings
As long as he's healthy, Jennings will get a full season in the Minors and a chance to show what he can do with his prodigious across-the-board tools.

Organizational Pitcher of the Year: David Price
Though he could land in the big leagues as early as midseason, at this point the Rays are being cautious with the polished product's pro debut and won't rush him. In fact, Price should see enough time to show why he was the undisputed top pick.

  • Armchair GM previews the AL and project the Rays to finish 4th in the East at 82-80, with the 5th best offense and the 10th ranked pitching staff. [ArmchairGM]
  • Rays Anatomy interviews John Manuel of Baseball America. They touch on a number of solid topics like Evan Longoria's status, the 2008 Draft and the 2009 rotation. [Rays Anatomy]
  • Freeze Fire provides the latest 2008 Rays preview and bring up a good point about the Rays spring training move to Charlotte County: At less than 30 miles from Ft. Myers, spring games versus the Red Sox will be filled with pink hats of Red Sox Nation. It is hard to imagine that the Rays will make much of a dent in what is Red Sox country right now. [Freeze Fire]

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Wednesday, June 06, 2007

Draft Pre-Gaming: Beauty Or The Beast?

We are now less than 24 hours away from what will be the biggest day of the 2007 baseball season for the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. From most accounts the Rays are faced with the exact same scenario that the Minnesota Twins had to endure in 2001 when they had to choose between Joe Mauer and Mark Prior. In that draft, the Twins went with the can't-miss catcher who didn't miss over the "can't miss" pitcher that has so far not even been close to the target.

All indications are that the Rays will take David Price and we have to admit that a 2009 rotation of Kazmir-Shields-Price makes us down-right giddy. Still, the new Devil Rays front office subscribes to two philosophies that fully agree with. First is the idea of taking the best player available, regardless of position. The second philosophy is an old adage in baseball of being strong up the middle, and that starts with the catching position.
We still think the Rays will take Price, but it would not surprise us if the Rays selected Matt Wieters. The Rays pitching depth in the minor leagues is suddenly a strength of the organization and Dioner Navarro has yet to show signs of becoming the all-star many projected when he was the Yankees top prospect. Of course, Wieters might be an easier selection to make if he weren't represented by Satan.

DEVIL RAYS DRAFTOPIA...
  • David Price may have tipped the hand of the Devil Rays the other day when he participated in a conference call. He sounded a lot like a player that had already been selected by the Devil Rays.
It's only a matter of time before they start competing for pennants...I think they're going to have a great team. With leaders like Scott Kazmir and Carl Crawford leading a group of young, great players. It's gonna make it a lot easier and fun to play. With manager Joe Maddon, one of the great managers in baseball, they're obviously a great talented team.
  • Good news for the Devil Rays, if indeed David Price is there guy. Vanderbilt was eliminated from the NCAA tournament much earlier than expected. The loss means that Price, who normally throws 120-130 pitches per game, will have 3-4 fewer starts this year than had Vandy gone on to win the College World Series.
  • Three of the top draft experts from Baseball America participated in a roundtable discussion about this year's baseball draft. When asked if David Price would be the first pick of the draft, Jim Callis and Alan Matthews agreed that Price should be and will be the top pick.
The consensus among most scouting directors is that Price stands above everyone else in his draft class. As one put it, "There's David Price, but after that there aren't a lot of top-of-the-draft guys." I'd say that he's rated just slightly higher than Andrew Miller was as the top prospect last year. Price also is advised by Bo McKinnis, so there shouldn't be much risk of protracted negotiations. He'll probably get the standard contract given to the best college pitchers each year, a big league deal worth from $5 million to $6 million, and MLB may have the Rays wait to announce it because it doesn't want that deal to affect others. Price also would be a good fit for Tampa Bay. The Rays' biggest weakness in the majors is pitching, even though they have some impressive arms coming up through the minor [Jim Callis]

The deal breaker comes in your evaluation of Price, for me. If he's a true No. 1 pitcher, and some scouts think he is, I don't see how you can walk away from him, regardless of your evaluation of Wieters. I don't think R.J. Harrison, the Devil Rays scouting director, has any doubts about Wieters' ability to catch and throw. Let's not forget, Harrison himself was a tall, lanky catcher in his days in college at Arizona State who was drafted by the Cardinals. But based on the way Price has pitched, my hunch is the Rays' like him as a future No. 1 pitcher, recognize the lack of starting pitching in Tampa Bay at present, and make Price their choice. [Alan Matthews]
  • John Manuel also thinks Price should be the top pick but argues that a case can be made for Matt Wieters.
I think Price should be, though I do think a case could be made for Matt Wieters. If "signability" weren't a factor, I'd really want to know, if I were running a club, if my scouts thought Wieters could catch and throw at the big league level. It sounds like he can, and it sounds like he can hit. A switch-hitting C, possible repeat all-star kind of talent, versus a front-of-the-rotation LHP. I'd actually consider organization need in that case, because to me both are legit 1/1 overall talents, and you're not selling yourself short on talent. In the end I'd still take Price, but it's pretty close on talent, for me. I don't think there's another true 1/1 talent in the draft; it's down to those two. [John Manuel]
Spoke with a couple of general managers recently and asked if they would trade their best young pitcher for Crawford -- in both cases, these are excellent major league pitchers -- and they immediately shot down the speculation. "No chance," said one. "I love Crawford, and there are a lot of players I would trade for him. But not that guy [the pitcher], because how would I replace him?"...So if the Rays pass on Price, they would still be searching for someone like him. They need to take the pitcher.

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